Archive for November, 2008

DESPITE ECONOMIC TURMOIL, THERE’S PLENTY FOR WHICH TO BE THANKFUL

Monday, November 24th, 2008

DESPITE ECONOMIC TURMOIL, THERE’S PLENTY FOR WHICH TO BE THANKFUL by Kelly Sweeney
Woe is me, business is down and the world is coming to an end. How easy it is these days to become caught up in negative emotion. Houses aren’t selling, people have lost their equity and foreclosures are ubiquitous.

Not so fast with the doom and gloom. Foreclosures are actually down in our state. Michigan has fallen from third in the nation to seventh. Still not a great statistic, but it is trending in the right direction.

Inventories are also down for the fourth straight quarter. Yes, we still have a five year supply of homes for sale, but again, trending in the right direction.

And let’s look at our assets. We have 714 years of combined real estate knowledge and experience in our Birmingham office alone! We are affiliated with a lender that has excellent mortgage resources and our offices are located in Oakland County, the fourth wealthiest county in the nation. Most importantly, we are doing business.

We have knowledgeable management that is leading through this paradigm shift. We are way ahead of our competition in providing short sale training and support in getting our transactions closed. Our greatest strength is that Weir Manuel has always chosen to affiliate only with the best sales associates who are fully engaged in the business. That culture has served us well over the years, but is even more important today as we see our competition flounder.

THE CHEESE IS MOVING FASTER!

Monday, November 17th, 2008

Ten years ago, in 1998, Dr. Spencer Johnson wrote the book entitled, “Who Moved My Cheese?” It was a cute little story about Hem and Haw and various other rodents who reacted completely differently when the traditional sources and locations of their favorite food, namely cheese, were changed. This best seller raised our awareness about the real world paradigm shift created by information, technology and the internet. It also sought to teach us how to more effectively deal with change.

“Change” became the buzzword for the new millennium. As Realtors, we had to deal with new web based MLS systems, web based lead generation, online marketing and for the first time ever, and online competition. The expectations of consumers changed as did their buying patterns, as real estate listing information became ubiquitous.

Realtors reacted by creating websites, using Blackberries, experimenting with online advertising and creating CRM and online lead follow-up systems. Just about the time when we think we have put systems in place to effectively deal with the changing demand of consumers, the cheese is moving again!

There is now a new market paradigm, namely declining market values. Never during the careers of most current practitioners has anyone seen sustained declines in housing values. This phenomenon has caused some to go hungry, because they can no longer find their cheese!

Historical pricing practices developed during inflationary markets do not work today. The business habits developed by order takers during past sellers markets do not work today, either. Nor do low customer service levels and weak advocacy skills.

Getting your share of the cheese today requires a new value proposition. Technology proficiency is now a given. True real estate skill and knowledge, however, is not. The ability to effectively advise your clients and negotiate on their behalf are skills that will get you to the cheese.

UNCERTAINTY OVER IN WAKE OF ELECTION

Monday, November 10th, 2008

Regardless of whether you were pleased or not with the outcome of last week’s national and local elections, the good news is that they are over.

History has shown us that purchases of big ticket items, such as autos and houses, always suffer in the midst of uncertain times. While there is certainly enough continuing uncertainty on Wall Street to be of concern, the significant uncertainty of who will hold the highest office in our nation has been eliminated.

Pleased or not with President-elect Obama’s agenda, his deft leadership skills cannot be denied. One can hope that, despite his anti-business taxation policies, his ability to bring the country together may create a greater sense of well being among the public (i.e., consumers). That would be good for business.

The post election period will also afford an opportunity for the lame duck Congress to get back to work on the additional economic stimulus proposals which are currently under consideration. These include significant enhancements to the current home-buyer tax credit program and revised mortgage lending guidelines.

Obama’s election may also very likely create the opportunity for changes in leadership at the highest levels in our State government. That can only be a good thing for Michigan and our local economy.

NAR PUSHES FOR ADDITIONAL HOUSING STIMULUS

Monday, November 3rd, 2008

The National Association of Realtors announced last week that it will push for a four-point legislative plan which will create additional incentives for housing markets. Congress will be urged to act during the lame-duck session before the end of the year.
NAR’s plan includes the following elements:
1. Remove the requirement in the current law that first-time homebuyers repay the $7,500 tax credit, and expand the credit to include all purchasers of primary residences.
2. Revise the FHA, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac 2008 stimulus loan limit increases to make them permanent. The Economic Stabilization Act, enacted in February, made loan-limit increases temporary, and subsequent legislation reduced the loan limits. This has broad implications for homebuyers in higher cost areas.
3. Urge the government to use a portion of the $700 billion that was provided to purchase mortgage backed securities from banks to provide price stabilization for housing, by:
a. Extending credit down to Main Street, making credit more available to consumers and small businesses
b. Expedite the process for short sales
c. Expedite the resolution of banks’ REO properties
4. Make permanent the prohibition against banks entering real estate business brokerage and management, further protecting consumers and the economy.